Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.613322 0.786887 0.982570 1.216955 1.487495 1.787508 2.142860
2025-10-12 0.375731 0.590587 0.864739 1.228355 1.686234 2.232571 2.922336
2025-10-19 0.216625 0.429076 0.738350 1.190928 1.806723 2.587697 3.624619
2025-10-26 0.123238 0.317221 0.641508 1.162524 1.921578 2.934460 4.334414
2025-11-02 0.072732 0.248186 0.584450 1.171964 2.078475 3.338427 5.134809
2025-11-09 0.036963 0.182118 0.508803 1.132967 2.153052 3.627433 5.791262
2025-11-16 0.022208 0.153798 0.492067 1.183511 2.361003 4.109465 6.726016
2025-11-23 0.010943 0.121118 0.453689 1.186386 2.489606 4.479132 7.515342
2025-11-30 0.006557 0.108803 0.456867 1.264591 2.743420 5.041955 8.593833
2025-12-07 0.003249 0.093400 0.446191 1.312408 2.947180 5.535440 9.586015
2025-12-14 0.001159 0.076094 0.422575 1.328563 3.095044 5.946660 10.468417
2025-12-21 0.000188 0.057552 0.385127 1.307293 3.172456 6.248299 11.195520
2025-12-28 0.000011 0.046924 0.369239 1.333262 3.340281 6.704994 12.175803
2026-01-04 NaN 0.036742 0.348246 1.343222 3.478280 7.118612 13.102950
2026-01-11 NaN 0.025092 0.309937 1.302311 3.514927 7.367254 13.785727
2026-01-18 NaN 0.016946 0.278581 1.271549 3.566719 7.640337 14.510618
2026-01-25 NaN 0.012549 0.263386 1.281320 3.698852 8.050908 15.456206
2026-02-01 NaN 0.007542 0.233022 1.239690 3.720867 8.273306 16.111325
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006297 0.233974 1.293394 3.945591 8.850205 17.335360
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004212 0.219939 1.296416 4.061355 9.240241 18.269910
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003945 0.229650 1.379510 4.355045 9.948935 19.723942
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003185 0.229853 1.430270 4.579743 10.540756 20.999834
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002159 0.220863 1.447410 4.730343 11.004454 22.077084